Weekend Update

Date

Market Update

  • PCE (personal consumption expenditures) shows all-in inflation rose .3% for the month which was expected.
  • YOY inflation remained stable at 2.7%.  Energy costs rose 1.2% for the month which contributed to the inflation numbers.
  • Core rate (which strips out food and energy) rose .2% last month and this is the one the Feds focus on.
  • Core retail sales were negative and durable goods flatlined.  If this continues, this is a good indication of a slowdown. *Basically, not seeing much progress on inflation, but it’s not getting worse. 
  • 30 day lates on mortgages declined from 2.8% to 2.6% in March
  • 90+ days lates rose from .9% to .11%
  • These are still healthy levels

7/26/2024

PCE came in this morning. It wasn’t as low as we’d hoped, but mortgage-backed securities are actually doing ok and going the right direction.

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7/12/2024

Fed members seem to be leaning towards a rate cut. We may be on the cusp of things turning around finally!

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5/31/2024

-PCE (personal consumption expenditures) shows all-in inflation rose .3% for the month which was expected.

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